When I say the decision will be made for them (and it will) here's what I mean:
There's, at minimum, 3 good candidates to enter the profiling game within the next 2 years. Roland, Yamaha, and UAD - Kemper won't be alone for long, because profiling is a huge new market, and right now they're the only game in town. Kemper got there first, but I can speak from experience, getting there first and having a superior product feels fantastic when the money is pouring in, but it doesn't last long if you don't evolve because everyone else catches up, and they do it faster than you anticipate. (a story for another time - has nothing to do with music or sound - it's not really important.)
There's at least one company (maybe, or maybe not, listed) I know for sure has a working profiling amp that they've had in development for the past 5 years. Their tech works exceptionally well (reportedly), and they're currently refining their ecosystem, OS, and end user experience. They are in no hurry to rush it to market until the whole package - out of the gate - is a total slam dunk. [I know this because I have a friend there working on the project, and he likes to facetime me at 3am when drunk and talk about things he shouldn't.]
- They're looking to totally dominate the profiling landscape within 18 months of launch. They are absolutely going to have a closed system - one that operates in the ways similar to what I've already detailed.
- And here's the kicker: 3rd party manufacturers won't have to port existing algorithms, or code new algorithms to run on their OS, because the platform will run it's FX engines as zero latency AU plugins, meaning you can run; not only profiles created on the platform, and profiles purchased through the platform store, but amp emulator plugins, and any AU based FX plugin you already own - running like insert slots on a DAW, programmable, and switchable from the pedal based surface. Similar to the Stage and Helix.
- As well as a mobile app for full GUI control of all onboard settings as well as naming functions too detailed for the inefficient button and wheel/arrow combo right there on your phone or tablet.
- The whole thing has been running fairly stable on a custom array of outboard RISC based chips (idk the exact details on that part) while they've been waiting for an ARM chip fast enough and robust enough to make the whole thing work in a cheap, energy efficient as well as real estate efficient form factor.
- And with Apple's new M1 breakthrough, it won't be long till there's a non-apple, multi-cored ARM chip on the market capable of powering the whole unit. - It'll be affordable too, possibly a $999 list $799 street price point. They're coming for it all.
- I don't know the full details on inputs, outputs, fx loops, midi, ADAT et al, - except that based on the company's history it'll have them...lol
Kemper will likely sit and wait to see if the new closed system device is viable and finds traction.
Meanwhile all the major amp makers will strike official licensing deals as will the boutique makers and before long the new device will be eating a major market share. If Kemper doesn't have a comprehensive plan in place for DRM on the current open system, or an alternate plan for a closed system, they'll have to rush one into play, and likely get it wrong. It'll be wonky, need several firmware updates to get it all up and running correctly, irritating users, all the while forced to sit and watch as their devices, ecosystem, and market share are quickly gobbled up while they try to pivot to get a competing device to market. All of our devices will be devalued for re-sale. Kemper will have a legion of frustrated users with de-valued machines, and a likely desire to migrate. Some current users will adopt the new platform AND hold onto their Kemper, But the number of new incoming customers will drop drastically in favor of the cheaper more full-featured competition. Profit margins will drop as current users find it's cheaper to adopt the new device than to purchase the new Kemper device whenever they're able to get it to market - possibly have to institute a trade-in upgrade program to retain users,, and adopt a new completely closed system of their own in order to be able to land the necessary licensing to implement a similar user experience.
This is the future, This is the free market. This is the fallout.
You can have an amazing piece of tech. You can be the first one to arrive. but the prevailing theme in tech is: evolve, or die.
So why do I care? I sympathize with Kemper. I had a great idea. I got there first. I was wayyyyyy ahead of the curve. And I let it all slip away, because I got complacent, and I didn't see the curve flattening. cuz it was flattening behind closed doors, so fast, that by the time I'd realized I'd been out-flanked, it was too late to react. I support their products and applaud their innovation, and wish to see them continue to flourish. but the curve is flattening...